26 January 2023 – The Philippines grew by 7.2% in the 4th quarter, contributing to the full-year growth of 7.6%, the highest since 1976. This also exceeds the government’s target for 2022 set at 6.5 to 7.5% and has exceeded its pre-pandemic growth of 5.9% in 2019.
The top performers for 2022 were Accommodation and Food Service activities (31.8%), Other Services, which includes arts, entertainment, and other service activities (28.3%), Transportation and storage (23.9%), and Construction (12.7%). Meanwhile, Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing (0.5%), Human Health and Social Work activities (3.6%), and Public Administration and Defense (3.8%) were reported laggards for the year.
The previous year was difficult for the global economy, with the Philippines specifically getting hit by inflationary effects and supply chain disruptions for oil and other key food commodities. Despite this, the country’s economy significantly rebounded due to the easing of pandemic restrictions resulting in increased consumer spending and growth in tourism with positive impacts on jobs. According to Sec. Balisacan: “Economic growth came with more jobs. We saw vibrant labor market conditions with the unemployment down to 4.2% in Nov 2022 from 6.5% in the same period 2021. This performance marks our lowest unemployment rate since 2005. We observed an improvement in the quality of employment relative to last year as workers found more stable work in private establishments and became employed in full-time jobs.”
However, prospects for 2023 are challenging. The International Monetary Fund noted that “this year may feel like a recession”. In order to sustain growth, Sec. Balisacan committed that the government’s priorities will focus on easing the burden of inflation and ensuring food supply through the development of the agriculture sector.
Prospectively, NEDA Sec. Balisacan noted that key economic reforms passed in 2022 are expected to bring in foreign investment to sustain growth in 2023. Some of these recently passed reforms include the Amendments to the Public Service Act, Retail Trade Act, and Foreign Investment Act as well as amendments to the IRRs of the Build Operate Transfer Law and the Renewable Energy Act.